Paul Goble
Staunton,
November 23 – The Duma has passed and Vladimir Putin has signed a law
withdrawing Moscow’s 1949 signature on the Geneva Convention concerning the defense
of the civilian population during international armed conflicts, a Convention
the UN has accused Russia of violating on Ukrainian territory by changing the
ethnic mix in Crimea.
Russia’s withdrawal from this convention means
that the United Nations cannot formally condemn Moscow for the violation of the
rights of civilians during war by acting on the accusations the UN has made (apostrophe.ua/news/politics/foreign-policy/2019-11-22/rossiya-vyshla-iz-voennoj-zhenevskoj-konvencii-chto-v-nej-govoritsya-i-kakimi-budut-posledstviya/180857).
Commenting
on this development, Vera Yastrebova of the Eastern Human Rights Group in Kyiv
says that Putin is showing that “nothing will stop him” and that he has “carte
blanche” for war,” now protected by “an additional indulgence in case of
further violations” allowing Moscow to avoid responsibility (apostrophe.ua/article/world/ex-ussr/2019-11-24/kart-blansh-na-voynu-putin-demonstriruet-chto-ego-ne-ostanovit/29388).
At
the same time, however, by taking this action, Russia has in effect confirmed
that it has been violating the Geneva Convention on the territory of Ukraine
and thus wants to block any formal finding against it, the human rights
activist says. But this latest move
shows even more disturbing things.
By
pulling out of the convention, “the Russian Federation has shown the entire
international political community that law is not something written for it. Earlier
there was still a mechanism for exerting influence on Russia, but as its
aggression has gathered force, I do not see any evidence that Russia will
suffer any real sanctions.”
And
as far as the Geneva Convention is concerned, that is likely to remain the case
“even if Ukraine will assert that the convention governed the actions of the
Russian Federation when ‘the little green men’ appeared in Crimea … and the
occupation of parts of Donetsk and Luhansk territories began.”
“The
Geneva Convention is not effective in stopping Russian aggression, and thus the
Russian Federation has shown that for it, the convention is not an argument or
an authority. This is a message which shows the direction of the movement in
Russian society,” Yastrebova continues.
What is occurring now is far more serious
than many may think. Earlier, Putin attacked other countries with tanks; now he
is undermining the formal structures of the international system with
ostensibly “legal” arguments. He wants to ensure that he has “carte blanche for
a new invasion” of yet another country or a repetition in Ukraine or
Georgia.
“To stop not only Russia but any
country which unleashes an aggressive policy, violates the rights of people and
seizes the territory of sovereign states, there must be a consolidated position
[among the leaders of the international community] which unfortunately we have sometimes
not seen.”
“When there is an enemy, we must all
unite and understand that if today this enemy comes to Ukraine, then tomorrow
he may go into Poland and/or resume the attack on Georgia which was begun in
2008,” Yastrebova says. And this is all the more likely because Rsusia has
shown that for it, “international influence does not have any importance.”
Instead, the Kremlin’s policy will
be the one Putin and his minions make on the basis of their own calculations,
calculations that now do not need to include even a polite bow in the direction
of the Geneva Convention.
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