Paul
Goble
Staunton, January 6 – Vladimir
Gelman, a St. Petersburg political scientist who has just released a new book
on Russian politics, says that no one knows exactly how much power Vladimir
Putin has but his role is perhaps best understood as “a veto player,” a
political science term for someone whose approval is needed for any significant
decision.
In his second major interview about
his new study – for a report on the first, see windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/01/russia-governed-not-at-level-of-eastern.html
– Gelman says that not only is Putin’s approval required for such
decisions but that he can block or
reverse a decision made by others (meduza.io/feature/2020/01/06/avtoritarnye-rezhimy-rushatsya-iz-za-vnutrennih-konfliktov-a-ne-iz-za-protestnyh-vystupleniy).
It
is “another matter” entirely, Gelman continues, to say which issues he keeps
for himself and which ones he delegates to others. Those are likely well-known to most of the
senior people who report to him; but they may make mistakes – and if they do,
they can be reversed.
“Judging
from everything,” the St. Petersburg scholar says, “Putin personally runs foreign
policy, at least as concerns relations with the United states or with Ukraine.
But certainly even in this sphere there are many questions which Putin doesn’t
deal with immediately but defers to Lavrov, the Security Council or someone
else.”
“Over
time, these priorities change. That is not surprising as it is difficult to
expect that the head of any state – and it isn’t important whether it is democratic
or not preserves one and the same set of political priorities over the course of
decades.”
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