Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 14 – Ten years
ago, a clash between radicals and the authorities in Nalchik claimed 141 lives,
but massive repression has not solved the problems that gave rise to terrorism
but rather led to “a significant outflow of potential and real militants to the
Middle East” from which they may return, according to Oleg Orlov of Memorial.
And that is all the more likely
because the causes which led to Nalchik a decade ago remain in place, the
authorities having done little to correct the situation and much to make it
worse. Repression has reduced the level of violence, but it has also made the
population more hostile, he says (kavkaz-uzel.ru/articles/270571/).
Other experts surveyed by Kavkazskiy
Uzel on this sad anniversary concur. Orkhan
Dzhemal, a journalist who covered the Nalchik violence, says that after the
events, “a significant group of people unified on a religious and ideological
basis was repressed,” but history suggests that repression does little to
change minds and that “such things always return.”
“No one ever forgets anything,” he
continues, and the most frightening thing is that now this conflict has been
transferred from one generation to another.
Valery Khatzhukov, the head of the
Kabardino-Balkar Regional Human Rights Center, agrees. He says that the worst
outcome of the Nalchik events was the destruction of the national organizations
which could have been the link between the population and the authorities. No
there are no such links beyond brutal force.
Had such groups not been destroyed,
there could have been a dialogue and many of the problems resolved. Instead,
each side talked only among its members and did not talk to the other, with the
authorities presenting themselves as victors over Islamist forces and the people
as victims of the authorities, he continues. They became and remain “an
underground.”
Khatazhukov says that he does not
expect a repetition of 2005, “but all the same the underground exists,
periodically leaders are destroyed but all returns in a circle: the same
problems – social, economic, and political – remain” and continue to affect the
views of young people and the entire society. Consequently, further outbursts
of violence are likely.
Larisa Dorogova, a lawyer, says that
the siloviki have not changed their approach over the last decade. They “do not
recognize violations of the rights of believers and therefore nothing changes, everything
continues as before … The underground is a result of various causes: some join
because they were beaten, others because their relatives or friend who were
killed.”
She says that today far more people
are sympathetic to those condemned for the Nalchik violence than was the case
earlier, at least in part because many innocent people were charged and
convicted. People in Kabardino-Balkaria feel that they are not being treated
fairly or according to the law.
More than a thousand of them have
signed an online petition on Change.org calling on the Russian government to “stop”
the authorities from using illegal force and to “return the North Caucasus to the
legal field.” And many people in the
region now condemn counter-terrorist operations because of the abuses they
entail.
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