Paul
Goble
Staunton, August 8 – The struggle
between the current and former presidents of Kyrgystan could easily exacerbate
long-standing divisions between the northern and southern portions of the country
into a civil war, something Moscow must focus on because there are a million
Kyrgyz workers in Russia now, the Andrey Medvedev Telegram Channel says.
The North and South of Kyrgyzstan
are two regions traditionally in competition with one another for power in the
region, the channel says. The southerners are more religious; the northerners
more secular. “The southern region was part of the Kokand khanate; the northern,
its uncertain vassal” (t.me/MedvedevVesti/1124).
“In the 19th century, the
southern Kyrgyz princes struggled for power in the Kokand khanate and
considered themselves to have the right to control all the lands of the Kyrgyz.
Among the Kyrgyz in the north, the chief tribe was the Sarybagsh; and it also
aspired to total power” over the Kyrgyz north and south.
This division and this conflict have
continued since that time. In Soviet times, the Kyrgyz secretaries, initially second
and then first, alternated between the two, the telegram channel says; “and it
was always significant how many southerners and northerners there were in the
republic Central Committee and ministries.”
This pattern did not disappear after
independence: it intensified. “In 1992 there was serious talk about splitting
the country in two. The republic flag which is red is a compromise as “red is
the color of the southerners,” and Akayev won over some of them by his
concession on that symbolic point.
Former president Almazbek Atambayev
who is now under arrest is a northerner; incumbent President Sooronbey
Zheenbekov, who arrested him, is a southerner. Zheenbekov by the way, the channel
says, was governor of Osh in the south when there were clashes between Kyrgyz
and Uzbeks.
What this means is that the current
conflict is not simply one within the elite. “It is more serious than that, it
is the South against the North,” the channel continues. By attacking Atambayev, Zheenbekov has
attacked the north; and Atambayev will get support from other northerners not
because of himself but because he is one of them.
Moscow needs to pay attention to
this conflict and its dangers, the telegram channel concludes, because there are
“more than a million Kyrgyz in Russia.”
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