Paul
Goble
Staunton, November 5 – The Nakanune
news agency suggests that conflicts between governors and mayors increasingly
resemble those of the 1990s when cities and regions squared off against each
other in order to stake out their power (nakanune.ru/articles/115597/).
But this trend contains within it of a more dangerous development in the late
1980s.
In the 1990s, both governors and
mayors were elected and thus had democratic legitimacy. Now, most of the
governors are de facto appointed by the Kremlin, while a large number of the
mayors still are elected by the people. The latter officials thus retain more
legitimacy in the eyes of the population than do the former.
That echoes something that happened
at the very end of Soviet times: Mikhail Gorbachev who probably could have been
elected Soviet president had he gone to the people earlier instead had himself
proclaimed president even as the leaders of some of the republics, Boris
Yeltsin of Russia most prominently, did gain legitimacy via elections in the
republic supreme soviets.
That tilted the balance of power
away from Moscow and to the republics, ultimately leading to the demise of the
USSR.
The situation in Russian regions is
fundamentally different, but contests between those who have been legitimated
by real elections and those who have not are likely to have a profound impact
on the political situation in the Russian Federation unless or until Moscow can
arrange things so that the mayors too will be appointed and lose this trump
card.
A new report by the Agency for
Political and Economic Communications concludes that tensions between officials
at the regional level and those at the municipal level have been increasing.
And Oleg Matveychev of the Higher School of Economics says that they in some
ways remind one of what occurred in the 1990s – but with a fundamental
difference.
At that time, he says, the Kremlin
backed the mayors in order to weaken the governors, something it is unlikely to
do again at least in most cases. But the
fact that tensions are growing again and between elected and non-elected
officials is something the powers that be at the center have to be concerned
about lest it provoke protests that could present a political problem.
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