Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 9 – Russia’s
military advisors to the LNR and DNR regimes are increasingly concerned about
the inability of the two to recruit reliable people from the local population,
but the view of these officials that local people are little more than “cannot
fodder” is a major reason why the Russians now face difficulties in
recruitment, Dmitry Tymchuk says.
The coordinator of the Information
Resistance group says Russian curators are worried not only about recruiting
more people but also about the low quality and penchant for alcoholism, drug
abuse and desertion among those already serving in pro-Moscow militias (apostrophe.ua/article/society/2016-09-09/mestnyie-na-donbasse--eto-pushechnoe-myaso-chto-soboy-predstavlyayut-boeviki-dnr-i-lnr/7197).
Efforts by the LNR and DNR to
institute a draft have failed Tymchuk says.
And as a result, “the Russian curators of the illegal ‘republics’ have
organized so-called contract service,” a euphemism for those who will agree to
fight for the military units of these two “republics” for money.
But that program too has suffered
from “big problems,” given that forming militia bands is one thing while
forming a real military force is something else and that the kind of skills needed
for many types of military units are far beyond the capacity of those who are
recruited in this way.
The most reliable source for new
militant forces, Tymchuk continues, consists of “military personnel of the regular
armed forces of the Russian Federation. But here too there are problems. Many
have finished their contracts” there and have little or no interest in signing
up for dangerous service.
The second most reliable source
consists of Russian mercenaries. But this source is increasingly problematic as
well. In 2014, most of these people had had spetsnaz experience, but now the
military commanders in the LNR and DNR often have to take Russians with no
military experience whatsoever, thus limiting the utility of units in which
they are included.
Such mercenaries are becoming ever
harder to find as well because those who came earlier are known to have faced
problems returning to Russia or on their return to Russia. As a result, if the
two “republics” are to fill their units, they have to rely on local people even
if those people are untrained or otherwise limited.
There are two other compelling
reasons for this choice. On the one hand, the Russian curators don’t want
Russian regular military personnel to be taken prisoner; and on the other, they
want to use high percentages of local people in at least some units to advance
the claim that the LNR and DNR have popular support.
The curators have no choice but to
use Russian military personnel in high tech units like communications, but they
are quite ready to use local people from the Donbass as “cannon fodder,” useful
for propaganda and to take losses but good for little else. Because local people are coming to recognize
this, ever fewer of them are ready to join up.
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