Paul Goble
Staunton,
June 28 – Even before he became president, Donald Trump declared that “international
politics is based on a system of deals,” a view that he has sought to implement
since gaining election and that has sparked fears he will do a deal with
Vladimir Putin at their upcoming summit that will harm others, Vitaly Portnikov
says.
But
people should relax because the Helsinki meeting of the two will end like all
other meetings the US president has taken part in with dictators, without any
agreements, the Ukrainian commentator says, a pattern will continue even if he
is reelected and adds “the most experienced advisors to his team” (graniru.org/opinion/portnikov/m.271140.html).
“The
Putin-Trump meeting is a meeting of two dreamers,” Portnikov continues. “One
dreams about a simple world in which all problems are solved with the help of
deals and he comes out as the head of this world and its lover at one and the
same time. [In short,] Alexander the Great and Charlie Chaplin in one glass.”
“The
other imagines himself as the head of a superpower which decides the fate of
the world and at the same time the informal master of a secret situation.” That
is, he is “Stalin and Koreiko [a figure from Ilf and Petrov’s novel, The Golden Calf] at one and the same
time,” the commentator says.
“Of
course, the two of them should be meeting with a psychiatrist and not with one
another, but they are trying to use their partner as a psychiatrist and they
are miscalculating.”
Portnikov
argues that “Putin will not conclude a deal. He deceives his partners with
deals. At the same time, Trump has nothing to offer Putin. He can’t lift
sanctions. He can’t ‘give’ Putin Ukraine and even Syria. He can’t solve the issue
of oil prices. Despite this, Putin is certain that Trump can do everything that
he wants.”
But
the Kremlin leader is wrong: “this gold fish swims in the aquarium of Congress
and of American public opinion. And this aquarium of possibilities is hardly an
[unlimited] ocean].”
As
a result, “the Trump-Putin meeting may end as ended Trump’s meeting with Kim
Jong-un: with declarations about intentions and inconsistence that arouse
suspicions and bewilderment.” That was underscored by Kim’s latest moves even
as Trump’s national security advisor came to Moscow.
“In
the final analysis,” the commentator says, “Kim Jong-un needed a meeting with
Trump for exactly the same reason Putin does: not for an agreement, not for a
search for compromise but rather as an indication of his own greatness.” That’s
why the meeting won’t lead to the big “deal” some predict.
According
to Portnikov, “the most interesting thing is that Trump will never be able to
understand this, nor will his followers. They will convince themselves that by
meeting Kim, Trump prevented a big war on the Korean peninsula, and by meeting
with Putin, preventing in general a third world war.”
Trump
and his supporters “simply cannot understand that Kim didn’t intend to fight
with anyone,” engaged in a bluff to get Trump to pay attention to him, and as a
result, transformed himself “from a marginal leader of a poor country into a
serious partner for his neighbors.” Trump gave him legitimacy “but didn’t
deprive him of the bomb.”
“And
that is the really serious result of the meeting in Singapore,” Portnikov
suggests.
“Putin
doesn’t need legitimacy, but he does need the fear of those who count on the
defense and support of the United States in their own conflicts with the
Kremlin regime.” He needs them to feel that soon there won’t be any more
support coming from that quarter and that they must defer to him.
It
would thus be “shortsighted” not to see that the upcoming summit will have
consequences but they won’t be in the form of accord. Instead, “each such
meeting” between a Western leader and a dictator leads to “a revision of values”
and each such revision “reduces the number of people who are guided by these
values and view the US as their defender.”
“Trump
may think that his dialogues with dictators make the world more secure,”
Portnikov says. “But he is mistaken. Each meeting of the leader of the democratic
world with a dictator makes the world more dangerous and less predictable. Each
such meeting forces many people to doubt that the democratic world in general exists.”
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