Paul
Goble
Staunton, October 4 – Members of the
Russian elite are transfixed by the protest movement in Hong Kong because it undermines
their widespread belief that “economic growth is possible under conditions of
political authoritarianism” and that consequently, Russia does not “need any
political changes,” according to Aleksey Melnikov.
Such attitudes, the Russian
commentator says, are “closely connected with nostalgia for the USSR and
provide the foundation for the view in Moscow that the Chinese government has
acted correctly from the time that it crushed the Tiananmen demonstrators in
1989 and that Russia should follow the same policy (kasparov.ru/material.php?id=542ECB613BAF3).
At the same time, he says, at least
some in Moscow are watching what is happening in Hong Kong now “with secret
satisfaction” because it is evidence that “not only the Russian bosses have
problems with the people but the Chinese do as well.” But any satisfaction they
have is undermined by something much more fundamental.
These events show, Melnikov says,
that “authoritarian stability” is threatened not only by the diversity of the
Chinese population, a diversity that recalls the fact that Russia is not as
monolithic as Moscow would like to believe, but also by the striving of people
everywhere, under the impact of globalization, for democracy and freedom.
Consequently, even if it might seem
strange “at first glance,” Melnikov concludes, “the events in Hong Kong, the
peaceful striving of people for democracy, in our global world have no less
importance for Russia than they do for China” – and that is a fear that for all
their bombast, the Kremlin and its allies cannot shake.
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