Paul
Goble
Staunton, March 29 – Since the
Ukrainian Orthodox Church was formed and granted autocephaly by the Ecumenical
Patriarch of Constantinople last year, both it and the Ukrainian Orthodox
Church of the Moscow Patriarchate agree that a number of churches have shifted
their allegiance from the Moscow church to the Ukrainian one. But they disagree as to how many.
A month ago, the UOC said that 340
parishes had shifted their allegiance, while the Moscow church said only 36 had
(ahilla.ru/36-ili-340-prihodov-pereshli-v-ptsu/).
Now Moscow acknowledges that the number
which have shifted has increased to 61; but the UOC says that 506 have done so
(ahilla.ru/perehody-hramov-iz-upts-v-ptsu-61-ili-506/).
The Ukrainian figures are almost
certainly closer to the mark – too many journalists are checking these reports
for them to be off by as much as Moscow claims – and that means that four
months into the process, one of every 24 churches formerly subordinate to
Moscow in Ukraine is now part of the autocephalous church.
Given the enormous share of ROC MP
churches which is in Ukraine and given Moscow’s desire to muddy the waters so
that no one will be certain as to exactly how fast this process is going or at
least will always cite the Moscow figures along with the Kyiv ones in the name
of “objectivity,” the Russian church has every reason to understate the
numbers.
That will become even more the case
when the number shifting from Moscow to Kyiv has reached a tipping point in the
regions. When a certain critical number of churches has changed allegiance,
others follow at a rapid rate – and that tipping point is now within reach in
many but not yet all of Ukraine’s oblasts.
As a result, it is important to keep
track of these developments on the two competing maps, not because the Moscow
figures are accurate but because they will be used by the Russian government to
try to undercut Ukraine given that Moscow recognizes that most of the Western
journalists who cover Ukraine do so from Moscow rather than Kyiv.
The Ukrainian church map is at google.com/maps/d/u/0/viewer?mid=1XQR0sfHFFiiXyGiVYqI1mNylJ9fFPdnh&ll=49.4742385410442%2C28.04668874999993&z=7&fbclid=IwAR0tZD7PJmR8Fz4pQJG_EZtiz1E_md2nc6dOanWsURfdlejbLCH5l2LJu-o.
The Russian one is at google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1HrBio05NMx0iTYxVyXNA2naH0aRIyhzr&ll=48.91664069067468%2C28.323128800000063&z=5.
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