Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 27 – With each
passing week, there is a new scandal involving one or another of the siloviki
agencies, political analyst Abbas Gallyamov says; and such crimes and even more
their exposure highlight growing divisions within this group of people on whom
the Putin regime has relied upon for two decades.
Such scandals are occurring and
having such disintegrative consequences, he says, because both economic
activity and political involvement by the siloviki have the effect of
undermining the harsh vertical of command on which entities like the army and
the police rely (realtribune.ru/news/authority/2333).
That is why when the military or the
police does not power, its commanders say they are doing so only temporarily
and pledge to hand back the reins of government to the population and the
politicians as soon as possible lest their own involvement in such economic and
political life destroy their own institutions.
As Gallyamov points out, “one of the
three main types of authoritarian regimes” is the military regime. Its “most
important characteristic is its temporary character. Having seized power, the
junta typically declares that it is doing so only temporarily, to put things in
order and then will return power to the civilians.” Usually, such regimes keep
this promise.
After the military or the police
take power, their ranks are riven by divisions of a kind that subvert the
discipline such institutions require; and the most intelligent and thoughtful
of their commanders recognize that if they hold on to power too long, they will
discover that the institutions they used to achieve it will begin to dissolve.
The military and police have not
seized power in Russia, but they have become intertwined with the powers that
be and with the economy in ways that have the same effect on their
institutional arrangements. The scandals are a sign of this; their exposure
reflects an effort of the state to disentangle them.
But whether that is possible very
much remains to be seen. What no one has too wait for, Gallyamov says, is
evidence that the siloviki institutions are more divided and thus less
effective now precisely because they have become embroiled in political life in
the Russian Federation. There are likely some in these hierarchies who
understand the problem.
The question of the day is whether
they have figured out any way to escape its implications.
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