Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 21 – The Kremlin has
a compelling reason to ensure that no opposition figures get into the Moscow
city council, Vadim Shtepa says. Given the hyper-centralized nature of the
Russian system, most of the money and most of the corrupt schemes the powers
that be have arranged occur precisely there.
Were a significant number of
opposition politicians to become members of the city council, the Russian
regionalist writer says, they could expose some of these arrangements,
something that the Kremlin doesn’t want (arvamus.postimees.ee/6733370/vadim-stepa-kreml-venemaa-pealinnade-vastu;
in Russian at region.expert/metropolis_vs_capitals/).
Given the nature of the kleptocratic
state under Vladimir Putin, that is a far more compelling reason for the
Kremlin to dig in and block opposition candidates even at the risk of sparking
the kind of mass demonstrations that occurred yesterday than most of the
alternatives that have been proposed.
The Estonia-based editor of the
Region.Expert portal makes three other observations that many who have been commenting
on Russia’s local election have generally neglected to register. First, Shtepa says, Moscow has set the single
day for voting in the regions in early autumn between vacation season and the start
of school.
The purpose of that timing is so
that most people will be at their dachas or on trips when they might otherwise
be focusing on elections and so that, on returning home, they will have to get
their children ready for school, again diminishing the amount of time they have
for political activity.
Second, he points to an unusual
feature of Russian politics – the lack of loyalty of political figures in the
center to the places from which they came. Putin “by origin” is a Petersburger,
but having moved to Moscow, he began to think “in purely imperial categories.”
The same was true of Stalin and of Boris Yeltsin, Shtepa says.
And third, he argues as others have
that “in its struggle with the opposition, the powers that be have in fact
driven themselves into an awkward situation familiar to chess players when any
move will lead only to a worsening of its position.” If opposition figures get
in, the Kremlin has a problem; if they are blocked, it has a problem of another
kind.
“Can protests by residents of the
Russian capitals influence politics?” Shtepa asks rhetorically. The answer is
that sometimes they can as they did in August 1991 when “ordinary residents of
Moscow and St. Petersburg went into the streets in large numbers and changed the
course of history.”
No comments:
Post a Comment