Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 18 – Fantasies are
often instructive because of the assumptions they reveal their authors have
made and because of the possibilities they open for others who may not ever have
imagined exist. One such fantasy concerning what would happen if Tver “wanted
to live independently of Moscow” offers food for thought on both points.
In an essay first posted on St.
Petersburg’s Gorod-812 portal (gorod-812.ru/esli-byi-tver/) and reposted by Region.Expert (region.expert/free_tver/), Vitaly Smyshlyaev
offers a vision of the future that says relatively little about what such an
independent Russian oblast might be like but a great deal about why he chose
Tver and how Moscow would inevitably react.
The St.Petersburg writer begins by
saying that he had to choose carefully if he wanted the independent oblast of his
fantasies to be a useful “experiment.” Immediately, he suggested, he had to
exclude Siberia and Primorsky Kray because of Chinese and Japanese interests in
any such independence project.
Russia’s southern districts “don’t
work either,” he continued. The Cossacks are always interested in going their
own way, as are the mountaineers of the North Caucasus. Moreover, Ukraine is
close to both. And they are hardly the only ones where a fantasy about the
independence of a Russian region might be too close to the truth.
The same applies to “European
Petersburg, Smolensk with its ties to the Grand Principality of Lithuania, the
Urals, Pskov and Novgorod,” a list that excludes most of the Russian Federation
and says something about Russian realities as far as secessionist interests are
concerned.
Consequently, he picked Tver, a
region caught between the Russian capitals and not known for links to
outsiders. Smyshlayev’s vision of its future as an independent state is
remarkable only in how banal it is: Once independent, the region wants little
more than to control its own taxes, exactly what many regions want today.
But perhaps the most interesting aspect
of his fantasy is his discussion of how Moscow would react. According to the St.
Petersburg author, it would do everything in its power to project back in time the
perfidy of the Tver people, suggesting on television and in films that its
residents waited for Hitler and those who remain would like to see the Germans
come back.
As a result of this propaganda
barrage, Smyshlayev says, most Russians would accept that vision of the people of
Tver, yet another way in which his fantasy touches on and illuminates what is
the reality of Russia today.
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