Paul
Goble
Staunton, July 29 – The integration of
Belarusian government, military and economic institutions by Moscow in the
latter’s pursuit of the deepening of ties between the two countries has
attracted more attention, but humanitarian integration, Andrey Yeliseyev says,
is far more dangerous and insidious because it “reduces to nothing all our
national distinctiveness.”
The political scientist at the
EAST-Center, says many, by focusing on what might be called “hard” integration Alyaksandr
Lukashenka has resisted, are missing Moscow’s increasing efforts to promote the
“soft” kind about which the Belarusian leader doesn’t appear to care (thinktanks.by/publication/2019/07/29/andrey-eliseev-gumanitarnaya-integratsiya-svedet-na-nol-vse-nashe-natsionalnoe.html).
Lukashenka, Yeliseyev says, isn’t
prepared to make many concessions about political sovereignty but is prepared
to allow Russians to make further inroads in the humanitarian sphere in order
to get Moscow to provide oil, gas, and favorable loans. For him, the analyst says, “Belarussianness
is of no value.”
But if the Belarusian language and Belarusian
culture are marginalized or even destroyed, the political scientist says, the
country will lose the basis for its independent existence in the future even if
for the time being it can keep at least partial control of its economy and
political institutions.
According to Yeliseyev, talk about “soft
Belarusianization” is misplaced. “It
hasn’t even begun” at least by the government. “The average Belarus hasn’t
noted such phenomena as I am sure any poll would confirm.” Some private initiatives
are taking place, but they act on their own in spite of the government rather
than with its assistance.
In the key areas of the media and
education, he continues, Minsk has been “a complete zero.” Indeed, it has even taken steps that make the
situation with regard to the Belarusian language even worse, precisely what
Moscow wants and far more dangerous in the long run than any concessions on the
economy or even the military.
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