Paul
Goble
Staunton, November 12 – One of the most
effective ways of keeping the peace in any multi-national republics is to
allocate positions according to a specific formula reflecting the proportions
of different ethnic groups in the population. Violation of that principle
almost always leads to trouble.
In Kabardino-Balkaria, the Committee
for Peace and International Accord has sent an open letter to republic head Kazbek
Kokov saying that the authorities have “crudely violated” that principle, with
ethnic Russians and Balkars overrepresented and Kabardins (Circassians)
seriously underrepresented in the federal force structures there.
Still worse, the letter says, the
more senior the position, the more likely is the violation of this principle to
occur and along with the injection of people from the outside, the Kabardins
are the biggest losers (caucasustimes.com/ru/v-kabardino-balkarii-narushaetsja-princip-nacionalnogo-pariteta-vo-vlasti/).
The letter gives the ethnic composition
of the 12 most senior positions in the federal force structures as an example. Seven are ethnic Russians, more than twice the
22 percent they form of the population; four are Balkars, eight percent more
than the 25 percent their numbers in the population; but only one is a
Kabardin, despite that nation having 57 percent of the population.
Unless this is rectified, three things are
almost inevitable. First, the Kabardins are likely to view the republic
leadership and Moscow as pursuing an anti-Kabardin line and respond with
growing hostility. Second, they are ever more likely to respond positively to
calls for them to identify as Circassians in next year’s census and link up
with other Circassians beyond the KBR.
And third, and from Moscow’s point of
view, most ominously, the discrimination that the figures the letter provides
are certain to cause ever more Kabardins not only to identify as Circassians
but to reject the current divisions ethnic and territorial Moscow has imposed
and support calls for the formation of a single Circassian republic.
The growth of such a movement would
overturn the existing divisions in the western half of the North Caucasus and
transform the largely peaceful situation there into something resembling the
protests in Ingushetia and Daghestan, significantly complicating Moscow’s
control of the region.
Because of that risk, the leadership of the
KBR will be under some pressure to correct the situation. If it doesn’t, it
will have only itself and Moscow to blame for the consequences.
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