Paul
Goble
Staunton, February 8 – German
intelligence services estimate that 50,000 people have died in the war in
Ukraine so far, a figure almost ten times larger than that offered by Ukrainian
or other sources, according to a report in today’s “Frankfurter Allgemeine
Zeitung.” (faz.net/aktuell/politik/ausland/ukraine-sicherheitskreise-bis-zu-50-000-tote-13416132.html).
According to the German paper, earlier
figures provided by the United Nations and the Ukrainian government have
understated the size of the losses and are not trustworthy. It says that its
sources in German intelligence point to the fact that after major battles, each
side says it lost fewer than ten fatalities when in fact there were dozens
killed on both sides.
The most recent Ukrainian government
statements suggest that 5400 civilians and 1200 military personnel have died,
while the United Nations gives as the total for both civilians and military
personnel at 5400.
One death from Putin’s actions in
Ukraine is too many. 5400 or 6600 are horrific. But the figure of 50,000, if it
only approximates the real losses, leaves one at a loss for words and forces one to ask: how many more people will have to
die in Putin’s war in Ukraine before Western countries call things by their
right names and respond appropriately?
What has happened is an invasion.
What is taking place is a war. And consequently what must happen is that the aggressor must
be expelled by international pressure if possible but by military means if
there is no other way. Those who have died so far and those who remain alive
deserve no less than that.
It is a mark of progress that
Western leaders want to end the bloodshed, that they see such violence as
completely unacceptable in Europe. But it is a mark of how far the West has to
go that in its rush to end the fighting, it may be willing to lend legitimacy
to Putin’s aggression rather than defend the victim of his actions.
If that happens – and there are all
too many signs that some in the West are prepared to sacrifice Ukraine in the
name of ending the bloodshed – far more lives will be lost because the West
will have failed to live up not only to its responsibilities as undertaken in
the Budapest Memorandum but also to the principles on which the international
system has rested.
And consequently, Western leaders would
do well to focus on the enormous human losses the Kremlin leader is responsible
for and also on the fact, highlighted by Yuliya Latynina yesterday, that “Russian
peacekeepers unlike UN ones are a guarantee that the conflict will remain
unresolved” (echo.msk.ru/programs/code/1488398-echo/).
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