Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 2 – In advance
of the G-20 summit in China, both Moscow and Washington have sent powerful
signals of their intentions. In hopes of forcing the West to put pressure on
Kyiv and to cut back or lift sanctions on Russia, the Kremlin increased its
military presence not only near the Ukrainian border but in Syria, Vitaly
Portnikov says.
But those aggressive moves instead
of intimidating the West have had exactly the opposite effect, the Ukrainian
analyst says. Instead of backing down in the face of Russian pressure, the
United States has signaled that it is now prepared to take an even harder line
than it has in the past and even to threaten Putin’s “purse” – the gas giant
Gazprom.
In a comment to Ukraine’s Gordon
news agency, Portnikov says explicitly that “the US has sent a signal that in
principle Putin can lose control of his purse, Gazprom,” because the new
sanctions the US is planning to counter Russian aggression will “seriously hurt
this company and all its projects including those in Europe” (gordonua.com/news/politics/portnikov-ssha-poslali-signal-chto-putin-mozhet-lishitsya-svoego-koshelka-gazproma-148303.html).
That
possibility, now very real thanks to the expansion of the sanctions regime
announced by the US this week (gordonua.com/news/worldnews/ssha-vveli-sankcii-v-otnoshenii-ryada-rossiyskih-kompaniy-i-grazhdan-148211.html)
is something both Putin and those who want
a more conciliatory policy toward Moscow “must take into consideration.”
All
the sanctions that the “civilized world” has imposed on Russia “are having a
cumulative effect,” Portnikov argues, because they are weakening the Russian
economy and hence the Russian regime which depends on the Russian economy for
the money it needs to carry out all of its projects.
Especially
in their new format, when they will hit Russian firms as well as imports, “will
inevitably achieve their goal” of forcing the regime to change course or to
collapse. “After the destruction of the
regime in Russia,” Portnikov continues, “Ukraine can play a significant role in
the development of civil society in its neighbor.”
.
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