Paul Goble
Staunton,
March 6 – Twenty-seven percent of Muslims, 28 percent of Catholics and
Protestants, and 24 percent of Orthodox believers in Russia say the Moscow
Patriarchate gets involved where it shouldn’t, although only slightly smaller
shares in each case say they favor an increase in its influence on the Kremlin,
according to a new Public Opinion Foundation poll.
These
figures suggest that the Moscow Patriarchate’s activism on many issues offends
followers of other faiths as well as some Russian Orthodox but that there is
some support among all religious groups for having the Moscow Patriarchate take
the lead in promoting religious values in society.
These
figures are appended at the end of an article by Milena Faustova in NG-Religii today which discusses the
controversies now swirling in Russia over just how many Russians are followers
of this or that faith and especially concerning the differences between poll
results and the claims of leaders of religious communities (ng.ru/ng_religii/2019-03-05/10_460_opros.html).
Measuring religious belief is almost
impossible and the meaning of identification with this or that faith varies
widely. Some will say they follow a faith but only because it is a national or
cultural marker, as is typical with Orthodoxy and Islam in Russia while others
will identify as believers only if they in fact take an active part in
religious life (Protestants and Catholics).
Moreover, the number of people who
will say they are followers of one or another religion to pollster depends to a
great degree on the way in which questions are posed. Consequently, different
polls yield different results; and all sides in this debate can point to some
survey that they like and others that they don’t.
The current controversy over
religious adherence in Russia has been triggered by a Public Opinion Foundation
survey which reported that 65 percent of Russians were Orthodox, “no more than
seven percent” Muslims, and that only one percent were Western Christians. It also said that 21 percent of Russians do
not consider themselves believers at all.
The Moscow Patriarchate regularly
insists that about 80 percent of the Russian population is Orthodox, but
experts on religion like Roman Lunkin of the Institute of Europe say that
figure is wildly inflated. They note
that a Sreda poll in 2012 found that only 41 percent of Russians identify with
the ROC MP and only single digits take part in religious life.
Muslim leaders too are convinced
that Russian polls routinely understate the number of followers of Islam. Gulnur Gaziyeva of the Union of Muftis of
Russia (SMR) says that in 2005, Moscow officials said there were 24 million
Muslims in Russia on the basis of the 2002 census; but that number disappeared
– and since then officials have used only he figure of 14 million.
They have done so even though census
figures show that Muslim peoples have continued to grow in number. Moreover, all Russian government figures
contradict the conclusions of the Saudis who say there are “no fewer than 24
million” Muslims in Russia and allocate haj slots on that basis.
Lunkin agrees that the seven percent
figure for Muslims is too low, perhaps, he suggests, because the Public Opinion
Foundation did not sample sufficiently in historically Islamic regions. He also
says that Muslim believers are far more active in the religious life of mosques
than Orthodox Christians are in churches.
According to Lunkin, the figures the
Foundation gives for Catholics and Protestants are more adequate in one way:
the one percent of Russians who follow Western Christian faiths declare they
are members of these faiths if and only if they actually practice. Looked at
from that perspective, one percent of all Russians in these faiths is actually
a large number.
Bishop Konstantin Bendas, a senior
churchman with the Russian United Union of Evangelical Christians
(Pentecostals), says that his organization surveyed Russians recently to
determine how many Russians actually participate in religious life of the
organizations they say they identify with or are members of.
That survey found that only 9.5
percent of Russians are active in church life. The other 90 percent, the bishop
says, know about religion and may have some views about it but are not really
part of their religions. In that context, the one percent of Russians who say
they are actually Protestants or Catholics is actually more than 10 percent of
the genuinely religious.
Muslims also form a higher share of
active believers, but the Russian Orthodox a much lower one. Consequently, the
Catholics and Protestants may equal the number of active Orthodox; and the
Muslims may exceed all three Christian groups taken together. If that calculation
is correct, the religious balance in Russia has really changed even if the
Kremlin acts as if it hasn’t.
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