Paul
Goble
Staunton, June 7 – The Russian occupation authorities in Crimea
have justified all the problems residents of that Ukrainian peninsula have
faced over the last four years by arguing that they are the result of the
blockade, sanctions, and the difficulties of integrating the region into the Russian
Federation.
As long as occupied Crimea was
hermetically sealed off from the world, the occupiers had some success with
those arguments; but the opening of the Kerch Bridge, which allows thousands of
them to visit the Russian Federation is undermining the effectiveness of such
arguments, Russian analyst Sergey Ilchenko says.
As a result, he says, the authorities
in Crimea “like the knight at the crossroads,” must choose one of three
possible approaches for the future: “closing the bridge so that people won’t be
able to see Kuban realities, retire from office, or begin to work” in a serious
way to improve things (svpressa.ru/society/article/200710/?nat=1&ntvk1_source=2435269709).
Last weekend
alone, nearly 50,000 residents of Crimea crossed the bridge into Russia.
Conversations with some of them, the commentator says, show that they were
impressed by how good things were compared to what they have become used to in occupied
Crimea. Ilchenko suggests that given
such comparisons, they are likely to become far more demanding.
Consequently, if the occupation
authorities don’t change course and bring real improvements in the lives of the
people of Crimea, they will lose whatever support they now have. That could
force Moscow to crack down even more harshly than it has, an approach that will
likely increase the number of its opponents on the Ukrainian peninsula.
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