Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 22 – Over the
last 12 days, 400,000 Russians have been evacuated from approximately 1,000
facilities in 80 cities after anonymous callers had warned that bombs were set
to go off in them. Officials, who so far
haven’t identified let alone arrested those responsible, say there are no signs
the bomb scares are letting up (tass.ru/proisshestviya/4583551).
The
central government media have devoted relatively little attention to this wave,
although a Duma committee is considering tougher penalties for what has now
come to be known as “telephone terrorism” and the Kremlin has been forced today
to say that it is too early to say anything about what is going on (fedpress.ru/news/77/policy/1861027).
What
makes this such a big and serious problem as the emergency services minister
said (themoscowtimes.com/news/the-mass-evacuations-in-numbers-59017)
is that the authorities have little choice but to evacuate buildings if they
receive warnings and that whoever started the calls, others may join in a kind
of copycat crime.
Consequently, even if the
authorities do identify one or another of the callers or those behind that
individual or group, others are likely to make use of the same tactic, against
which at least for the time being the Russian authorities appear powerless to
stop, however much economic damage these evacuations may cause.
But far more significant than any
economic costs, of course, are the political ones. Vladimir Putin has sold
himself to the Russian people as a guarantor of order, as someone who ended the
“lawless 1990s.” If Russians conclude that he is no longer able to do that,
they may conclude that their version of “the mandate of heaven” has passed from
him.
And that in turn suggests that some
opponents of Putin and his regime may continue to make such calls, even if the
risks of engaging in “telephone terrorism” are increased, as Russia edges
closer to the presidential elections early next year and enters a new and more
complicated political season.
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