Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 16 – After opposition
candidates appeared to have won 260 mandates in Moscow city district councils, the
city’s election agency ordered recounts because of supposed falsifications of
the results in what is a transparent effort to displace the opposition winners
in favor of pro-Kremlin United Russia candidates.
This has the effect, Znak’s Yekaterina
Vinokurova says, of returning the city and indeed Russia as a whole to the
situation in which the widespread conviction that the authorities had stolen
the elections prompted a wave of mass protests (com/2017-09-15/nepriyatie_itogov_vyborov_2017_vernulo_moskovskie_vlasti_v_2011_god).
Unlike
in 2011, when opposition groups were charging officials with falsification, now
officials are using what they say are various electoral violations to justify
recounts that may lead to a change in the outcomes of at least some races,
reducing the number of opposition winners and increasing the number of United
Russia ones.
Given
that city officials had earlier declared that the voting had taken place
without significant violations and that the recounts so far have been ordered
only in places where opposition figures won, there are certain to be suspicions
that officials are once again stealing the election.
Grigory
Melkonyants, a leader of the Golos organizing, tells Vinokurova that “nothing
new has taken place in Moscow. Recounts with ensuring falsification of results
of the voting in the capital were widely applied in 2011 when voters chose the
sixth State Duma.” At the time, Russians demanded a more honest approach to
voting.
Andrey
Kolyadin,head of regional programs at the Moscow Institute of Social Research,
adds that “the government needs to understand that if it does not fulfill at
least part of its own laws, sometimes citizens will cease to fulfill theirs,”
implicitly acknowledging that there may have been real violations but that
officials are treating them selectively.
And
Yekaterina Schulmann of the Presidential Academy of Economics and State Service
notes that “the protests against falsification of the elections in 2011-2012
exerted an enormous influence on elections throughout the country,” including
in Moscow where the number of observers has typically been highest and the
possibilities of violations least.
But
she warns that “the undemocratic tradition of complete control by the mayor’s
office of local administrations and the actual lack of local
self-administration” remain very much alive.
She suggests that it is critical that Russians protest against this as
much as possible because “society still doesn’t have any more effective
instruments of influence” on the authorities.
Given
the low level of participation in the municipal elections on September 10, it
seems unlikely that there will be the mass protests about this that accompanied
the Duma vote. But at the same time,
conditions in the country are much worse; and any protest that does occur could
rapidly gain the backing of many concerned about other things as well.
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