Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 20 – The number
of members of the numerically small peoples of the North are increasing as are
people from Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, China,
India and Ukraine while the number of ethnic Russians there is falling,
fundamentally shifting the ethnic balance in that critical region.
Flera Sokolova, a religious
specialist at the Northern Arctic Federal University, says as a result of
emigration and excess deaths over births, the number of ethnic Russians in the
Russian Arctic has fallen by 26.3 percent, while the number of the numerically
small non-Russian nations has increased by 23.3 percent (nazaccent.ru/content/25409-ekspert-v-rossijskoj-arktike-stalo-bolshe.html).
(Specifically, she
says, the numbers of ten of these groups – the Dolgans, the Nents, the selkups,
the Khants, the Chukchis, the Evenks, the Evens, the Entsy, the Eskimos and the
Yukagirs – have gone up, while the number of others – the Kets, Nganasans,
Saamis, Chuvans, Chulymtsy, and Kereks – have continued to fall.)
The changing ethnic balance in the
region has been amplified by the influx of others from the Caucasus, Central
Asia, and further afield. To date, this
has not led to major inter-ethnic clashes – this is a territory “with a low
level of ethnic conflict potential.” But “there are several potential threats,”
including those that may set non-Russians and Russians at odds.
The efforts of some from within the
Russian community to identify as Pomors and to have that identity recognized as
one of the numerically small peoples of the North has divided both Russians and
non-Russians, Sokolova says.
Another threat is “a split between
the indigenous population” which includes both Russians and the non-Russian
numerically small peoples and those who have arrived recently is perhaps more
urgent because those who have come in typically take jobs the others might get
and have higher incomes, Sokolova says.
As a result, the declining size of
the ethnic Russian population “includes within itself a threat of growing
ethnic separateness” and may mean that Moscow will no longer have the ally it
once had in “guaranteeing the defense of the national interests of the country”
in the increasingly important Far North.
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