Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 18 – Many have
forgotten that in 1978, everyone in Iran and the West was certain that the shah
was in complete control of the situation and that Ayatollah Khomeini in exile
in France “was not much more serious” than Russians today think that Aleksandr
Kalinin is with his calls to transform Russia into an Orthodox Iran.
But a year later, the shah was gone,
and Khomeini had taken power and begun creating a totalitarian Islamic state,
Yevgeny Kiselyov points out, a development that became possible because “when
it suddenly became clear” that Khomeini mattered, “the genie already had broken
out of the bottle and it was already too late” (echo.msk.ru/blog/kiselev/2057260-echo/).
Four days ago, the journalist notes,
Kalinin, head of “a mysterious organization, the Christian State Holy Rus’
which still isn’t banned in Russia” said the wave of anonymous calls in Russia
was the work of the opponents of the controversial film “Mathilda.” (For
Kalinin’s article, see meduza.io/feature/2017/09/14/pravoslavnaya-strana-dolzhna-byt-takoy-kak-iran).
“It
is possible” that Kalinin’s assertion is simply a bluff, the journalist says.
There may not be that kind of coordination, and those who believe as Kalinin
does that Russia should be a totalitarian Orthodox Christian state in the same
way that Iran is an Islamic state may not be numerous.
But
what if they aren’t? Kiselyov asks. “And what if the authorities by appealing
to traditional values like Orthodoxy, autocracy and nationality and other
bindings and by exacerbating anti-Western attitudes” have created a monster
that not only threatens them but threatens the country as a whole?
“With
my own eyes, I saw how in Iran in 1978, the Islamic revolution began.”
Initially, the unrest was dismissed as marginal; but after the fire in the Rex
Theater in Abadan in which at least 377 people died, Iran “was very quickly
seized by mass protests and demonstrations in which an ever greater role played
backers of the Shiite fundamentalists – Ayatollah Khomeini.”
That
led to the overthrow of the authoritarian regime of the shah and its replacement
by “a regime of Iranian mullahs who were more harsh, intolerant, [and] bloody
than the one they ousted and that “transformed Iran into a threat to international
stability and security … as an exporter of Islamic fundamentalism and the
supporter of terrorist organizations like Hezbollah.”
It
subsequently came out that the fire at the Rex Theater and at other theaters as
well was carried out by supporters of Aytaollah Khomeini and at his instigation
because he viewed them as disseminators of Western abominations, in much the
same way some Russian Orthodox activists view the film Mathilda.
Of
course, there are big differences between Iran in 1979 and Russia in 2017 and “historical
parallels don’t work.” Moreover, most are confident that “the Kremlin and the
FSB control everything.” That may be so,
Kiselyov says; but what happens if as in Iran 40 years ago it suddenly isn’t
true any longer?
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