Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 24 – Because Russians
have long realized that there are no real elections in their country, Leonid
Radzikhovsky says, they talk instead about “the emperor’s new clothes. But the
emperor is not simply naked: he doesn’t even exist.” But because of the nature of Russians, that
alone doesn’t constitute any threat to his continuing to rule.
Their “fear of power, their national
boasting and acceptance of lies about the enemies surrounding [them] and most
important of all, the eternal Russian Oblomovite indifference and fatalism”
nonetheless ensure that the emperor will not be challenged anytime soon, the
Russian commentator says (theins.ru/opinions/72014).
Whether Putin goes to Yandex or not
doesn’t matter. Russians will vote for a non-existent candidate if they think
he is what the rulers want. But in fact, “how is Putin any different” from that
candidate – except by name,” Radzikhovsky asks. No one, including him, knows
what he is offering.
Indeed, he continues, “I think he
would be curious to find out about it himself.”
Tragically, those now arrayed
against him offer no hope either. Grigory Yavlinsky is running again because
like a fading screen star, he has no choice but to appear “even in very bad
programs and insane comedies. If he stops, he will cease to be invited” to do
so again; and thus he has no choice even as he has no chance.
As for Aleksey Navalny, the Moscow
commentator says, one should not exaggerate his popularity. For Russians, their “poet is Pushkin, their
country Russia, their machinegun the Kalashnikov, their tsar Nicholas, their mad
woman Poklonskaya and their president Putin” and that isn’t going to change.
Moreover, Radzikhovsky says, “to
hope for a change of power as a result of economic decline isn’t justified
either,” no matter how bad things get. If there is another crisis, Putin and the
Kremlin will manage to excuse themselves by blaming others – and all too many
Russians will accept whatever they are told.
Even if life became much worse, as
Lenin used to say, “one must be able to transform the masses into
revolutionaries, to inspire them with a revolutionary ideology, to organize
spontaneous protest, and to direct it and make it political.” That requires a revolutionary organization,
and one doesn’t appear to be on the horizon.
Look how long it took Gorbachev to
destroy the USSR and how only a war and the weakness of the tsar himself took
to destroy the Russian Empire, Radzikhovsky continues. There may be a palace
coup, but there is no prospect for a real change for the better unless Russians
change first – and there is little sign of that at present.
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