Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 2 – The Kremlin
is vastly better informed about the situation in other countries than it is in
its own, the Forbidden Opinion telegram channel says. As a result, it is making
ever more mistakes domestically and has yet another reason to prefer to deal
with foreign affairs where it can be more confident about the actions it
takes.
The reasons for this paradoxical
situation, the channel continues, are that the Kremlin does not have sources in
which it can have confidence about domestic affairs but has many and varied
sources about conditions in other countries (t.me/TheForbiddenOpinion/3934,
reposted at kasparov.ru/material.php?id=5D6D46C380ECB).
It would be one thing, the channel
says, “if the Russian Federation had a quality sociological service which could
tell the powers where they needed to tighten the screws and where they needed to
make compromises.” But the Kremlin doesn’t. Instead, it hears from its
loyalists what it wants to hear and thus acts blindly, doing the reverse of
what it should.
The situation is much better with
regard t what is going on abroad. There, the Kremlin has multiple sources,
including many independent of itself, and can act with far greater
confidence. That is a major reason why
Putin prefers to deal with foreign policy rather than domestic.
Not having reliable sources about
domestic affairs and having lost the touch he had at the start of his reign,
Putin is making the kind of mistakes now that only add to his difficulties. He
would prefer not to have to act domestically at all because when he has in
recent times each of his moves has backfired..
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