Paul
Goble
Staunton, September 6 – By calling
for the introduction of UN peacekeepers in the Donbass, Vladimir Putin is
pursuing a variety of goals foreign and domestic, Vitaly Portnikov says; but
they do not include the restoration of Ukrainian sovereignty and peace in the
region. Instead, this proposal like all of Putin’s in the past is intended to
make that impossible.
The Ukrainian commentator says that
Putin is not interested in having UN peacekeepers make peace but rather to
ensure that he will be able to continue his pursuit of plans to dominate
Ukraine and prevent Kyiv from succeeding in focusing the attention of the
international community on that fact (ru.espreso.tv/article/2017/09/06/myrotvorcy_po_putynsky).
Already some in
Moscow and the West are rushing to suggest that Putin by this proposal is
changing course, Portnikov continues, but there is no reason for such hopes.
Indeed, “a careful analysis of Putin’s declaration shows that [he] is
interested” in maintaining Moscow’s control of the region and continuing to
work to weaken Ukraine more generally.
According to Portnikov, Putin’s insistence
that UN peacekeepers could be introduced into the Donbass “only after a
ceasefire and the withdrawal of heavy arms. This is the first point of the Minsk
Accords,” something Moscow could have done long ago but hasn’t made any moves
in that direction.
Putin hasn’t hastened to do so, the
Ukrainian analyst says, because “the Kremlin understands precisely” that if
those conditions are ever met, it would work to Ukraine’s advantage and thus
would “clearly not be in Russian interests.”
Moreover, Portnikov points out, “Putin wants the peacekeepers to appear exclusively
along the line delimiting the occupied territories.” Put in more honest terms,
he says, this represent a shifting forward into Ukraine of the Russian border
and thus the UN soldiers would perform de facto the role of Russian border
guards.
Putin talks about restoring
Ukrainian control over the Donbass, but with this proposal, he makes clear that
he isn’t even prepared to talk about the beginning of such a period. “He wants
to keep for himself a free hand in the Donbass – and to back that up with a
decision by the UN Security Council.”
And finally, Portnikov observes, the
most important aspect of Putin’s proposal is what he says at its very end. The Kremlin leader says the UN peacekeepers
can only be introduced if they enter into “direct contact” with Moscow’s puppet
states, the so-called “people’s republics” of the DNR and LNR.
Such recognition is what Putin has
been seeking since he began his invasion of Ukraine because he wants to get
that in order to give some substance to his otherwise insupportable claim that what
is going on in the Donbass is “not an occupation but ‘an uprising’ or ‘a civil
war.’” Ukraine and its Western
supporters must never agree to that.
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